Shandong Taishan vs Zhejiang FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
3º
25
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 72 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 26 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
25% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
41.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHA
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
SJF
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
SHA
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 0
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Zhejiang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 1
WFC
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 2
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
HAN
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 0
HAN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
HEN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |