Shandong Taishan vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
5º
19
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CBC
0 - 1
SHA
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 3
SHA
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
HEN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 1
SHA
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
14%
25%
61%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SHA
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
MEI
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |