Shandong Taishan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
5º
27
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 59 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
87% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 38 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
74.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
KAW
2 - 4
SHA
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
KAW
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
FCY
3 - 0
SHA
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
6 - 1
KAY
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 34 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
SHA
24%
23%
54%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
WFC
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HEN
1 - 1
CHA
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
SHA
16%
22%
63%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
CHA
12%
20%
69%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEI
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |