Shandong Taishan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
DAL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 3
SHA
55%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 0
HEN
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHA
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 1
LIA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HAN
1 - 1
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
TIT
0 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 3
HAN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 3
CHA
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |