Shams Azar Qazvin vs Naft Abadan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
13º
5º
21
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 1
NAS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 2
SAQ
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 1
GOH
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
SAQ
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GOH
28%
28%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
AAK
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPF
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SAN
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |