Shams Azar Qazvin vs Saipa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
55
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
88% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 2 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
MSB
1 - 1
SAQ
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SAQ
3 - 1
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAQ
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
SAQ
2 - 1
SHF
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
EMO
0 - 0
SAQ
42%
29%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Saipa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
VPN
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
EKU
0 - 0
SAI
32%
29%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MSB
0 - 0
SAI
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 1
MOG
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAI
39%
29%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |