Shams Azar Qazvin vs Nassaji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
13º
5º
29
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 2
SAQ
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 1
GOH
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
SAQ
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 2
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FOO
0 - 1
SAQ
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nassaji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 0
EKU
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 1
NAS
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 0
MUM
26%
22%
53%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 2
ZOB
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 3
NAV
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |