Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
EKU
1 - 0
SAQ
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAQ
1 - 1
SEP
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
SAQ
1 - 1
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
SAQ
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
AAK
3 - 0
SAQ
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
EST
1 - 1
ALS
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
EKU
57%
26%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAL
0 - 0
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
SAQ
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 1
SEP
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |