Shamrock Rovers vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
9º
1º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 3
SHR
24%
29%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 0
SHR
17%
27%
56%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 2
DRO
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHR
3 - 2
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
UCD
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 1
UCD
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |