Shamrock Rovers vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
9º
1º
11
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SLR
0 - 3
SHR
24%
29%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 0
SHR
17%
27%
56%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHR
1 - 2
DRO
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHR
3 - 2
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
UCD
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 1
UCD
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
76%
16%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |