Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SLR
1 - 1
SHR
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
STP
1 - 0
SHR
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
SHR
1 - 1
GAL
64%
23%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 4
SHR
35%
29%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SHR
1 - 2
CAO
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
STP
2 - 0
GAL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
STP
1 - 0
SHR
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
DRO
1 - 2
STP
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
DER
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOH
3 - 1
STP
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |