Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Shamrock Rovers vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
SHR
0 - 2
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
RAP
3 - 0
SHR
75%
15%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 2
SHR
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SHR
0 - 1
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
BOT
1 - 0
SHR
56%
20%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FCB
0 - 1
ZAR
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MAL
91%
7%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SEV
1 - 1
ZAR
27%
26%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |