Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
3º
24
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SLR
2 - 0
SHR
30%
30%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
STP
2 - 1
SHR
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DRO
0 - 2
SHR
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 2
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 0
DER
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
WAT
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
SLR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
STP
2 - 3
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DER
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |