Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
9º
1º
41
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHR
3 - 2
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 0
BOH
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DER
0 - 2
SHR
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHR
2 - 1
SLR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
STP
3 - 0
DRO
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
18%
26%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 1
SHE
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
DRO
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 2
BOH
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |