Shamakhi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
8º
4º
6
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 60 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 51 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 50 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 22 |
10º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
5.5% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKN
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 2
SHA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
AST
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 17 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |