Shamakhi vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
10º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
SHA
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
QAR
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
24%
28%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
SUM
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |