Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Shamakhi vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
SHA
2 - 0
MLA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MLA
0 - 3
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FCK
1 - 0
SHA
41%
30%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
FKQ
4 - 3
SHA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SHA
0 - 3
QAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
MIL
1 - 1
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
MIL
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 4
F91
45%
23%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FOL
4 - 2
KAE
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
F91
5 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |