Shamakhi vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
10º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SHA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
ZIR
23%
29%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SFK
1 - 0
SHA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCK
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 0
SUM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
TUR
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKQ
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
FKQ
4 - 2
SEB
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
20%
64%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |