Shamakhi vs Araz PFK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
8º
8º
43
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 19% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 47% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 0
SHA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 2
TUR
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 2
SHA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
SUM
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKN
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SFK
1 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 2
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FCK
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |