Sham Shui Po vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
9º
34
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
EAS
5%
16%
80%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
SHA
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WTP
0 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 7
BIU
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
SDI
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
SDI
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 2
BIU
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BIU
1 - 0
SDI
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SDI
0 - 5
KFC
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 0
RES
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |