Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
80.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
9º
18
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
NDT
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BIU
9 - 0
SHA
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
SDI
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 4
EAS
5%
16%
80%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 0
SHA
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HON
72%
17%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
SDI
28%
26%
47%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
BIU
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
15%
18%
67%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |