Sham Shui Po vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
10º
9º
26
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
CWD
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 2
EAD
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NDT
0 - 0
SHA
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 1
YOK
76%
16%
9%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HVA
1 - 3
SHA
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HON
0 - 3
WAR
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BIU
4 - 0
HON
26%
20%
53%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HKU
2 - 2
HON
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
HON
2 - 3
BIU
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SDI
3 - 0
HON
39%
22%
38%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |