Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
15º
12º
33
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 55 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 0
SHA
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
ISL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
SHA
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 0
SHA
17%
20%
64%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 1
ISL
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
FKA
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 1
DNP
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FKA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 1
FKA
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |