Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
15º
12º
20
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 62 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 56 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 27 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
DNM
3 - 2
SHA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 3
BAT
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 0
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 2
FKS
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
ISL
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCS
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
DNP
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCS
66%
21%
12%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
GOM
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |