UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHA
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 4
BAT
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
MIN
0 - 0
SHA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
SHA
2 - 0
DNP
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
DNM
1 - 0
SHA
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHI
68%
21%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
KIL
0 - 4
ARA
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
GAN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
ARA
2 - 0
ULI
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIK
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |