Shakhter Karagandy vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
12º
16
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 46 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 30 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 26 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
57.5% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 0
SHA
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ZHE
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 2
KAI
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZHE
2 - 2
FKZ
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORD
3 - 1
ZHE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 0
KYZ
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |