Shakhter Karagandy vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AKZ
1 - 2
SHA
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ZHE
1 - 2
SHA
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 0
ATY
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TOB
2 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 1
AKZ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOB
3 - 2
ZHE
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOB
3 - 1
TAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AKZ
1 - 0
TOB
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TOB
2 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ZHE
2 - 0
TOB
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |