Shakhter Karagandy vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
12º
13º
33
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 33 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
97% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZHE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 0
SHA
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
ORD
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
0 - 1
PYU
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ORD
4 - 3
DIF
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 1
ORD
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
DIF
1 - 0
ORD
36%
25%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |