Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Shakhter Karagandy vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
OKZ
0 - 1
SHA
19%
27%
54%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
SHA
1 - 0
KAI
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2010 |
AST
4 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
ORD
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
AKZ
0 - 3
SHA
24%
28%
49%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
KOR
3 - 0
RCH
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
RCH
1 - 2
LPO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
JAG
1 - 0
RCH
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
POG
0 - 0
RCH
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
RCH
1 - 0
WAR
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |