Shakhter Karagandy vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
12º
13º
32
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 53.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZHE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 0
SHA
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
KAI
30%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |