Shakhter Karagandy vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
13º
10º
44
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 1
SHA
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 4
ORD
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
2 - 4
SHA
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
KAI
3 - 1
KAS
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AKS
1 - 3
KAI
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KAI
2 - 2
ATY
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCA
4 - 1
KAI
34%
25%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KAI
2 - 0
AKS
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |