Shakhter Karagandy vs Atyrau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
12º
13º
26
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 0
SHA
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ATY
3 - 1
KAI
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
ATY
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |