Shakhter Karagandy vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
11º
15
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 44 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 39 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 36 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 35 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 35 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
FKT
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
SHA
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ORD
5 - 0
SHA
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
UFA
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 2
PYU
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
FKY
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
AST
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 0
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |