Shaanxi Union vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+422%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
9º
7º
37
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
43 | 19 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 16 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 15 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 14 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 14 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 12 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 10 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shaanxi Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
3 - 2
SHU
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
SHU
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SHU
3 - 0
RZY
53%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 2
LAN
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 4
SHU
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 0
HFC
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 3
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
HBF
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
2 - 2
HSF
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 3
HBF
47%
22%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |