Shaanxi Chang'an vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shaanxi Chang'an
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
MEI
3 - 2
SCA
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SCA
3 - 1
GUI
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
0 - 1
SCA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SCA
1 - 0
SHE
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
0 - 1
SCA
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 1
JIA
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
0 - 2
SHE
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MEI
3 - 2
JIA
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
0 - 2
HAN
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
0 - 1
SCA
34%
29%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |