Shaanxi Chang'an vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shaanxi Chang'an
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SCA
3 - 2
JIA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
WFC
3 - 1
SCA
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCA
4 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 2
SCA
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 5
SCA
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 2
NAN
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
JIA
0 - 1
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SCA
4 - 1
GUI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
SJF
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |