SGV Freiberg U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SGV Freiberg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STT
4 - 0
SGF
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SGF
0 - 4
EIF
10%
18%
72%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 0
SGF
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SGF
2 - 2
STT
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SGF
1 - 5
GRF
12%
20%
69%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
M05
4 - 0
FSF
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AUG
1 - 2
M05
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
STT
2 - 3
M05
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FSF
0 - 6
M05
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
M05
1 - 3
EIF
16%
21%
64%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |