Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
18º
10º
7
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 67 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 66 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 62 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 60 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 59 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 58 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 56 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 54 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 52 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 51 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 51 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 45 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 40 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 40 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
33.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 20 |
19º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERN
2 - 0
SFB
13%
18%
69%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SFB
5 - 0
MEI
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 2
LEN
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
SFB
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BGH
1 - 4
SFB
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
TVC
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
MFC
32%
22%
47%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
TUH
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 2
WAT
22%
18%
60%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 3
GIE
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |