Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs SpVgg Vreden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
15º
9º
43
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERN
3 - 2
SFB
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
4 - 2
TVC
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
WIE
5 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 1
SFB
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SFB
6 - 0
DSC
57%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Vreden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 4
PRE
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 4
SVR
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
SVR
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
1 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 3
SVR
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |