Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Sprockhövel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
34%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
15º
11º
25
5º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
SFB
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STE
6 - 1
SFB
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
DSC
4 - 1
SFB
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Sprockhövel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 2
GIE
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TDO
1 - 3
SPR
6%
12%
82%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPR
3 - 3
ERH
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 3
SPR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
SPR
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |