Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
57.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
15º
11º
76
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRE
6 - 0
SFB
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
1 - 2
SPR
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 3
SFB
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
GIE
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TDO
3 - 0
SPO
5%
10%
85%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
5 - 0
ERH
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TVC
0 - 0
SPO
20%
19%
61%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 1
WER
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |