Finnentrop/Bamenohl vs Gievenbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
18º
16º
30
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
34 | 74 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 72 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 65 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 63 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 58 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 58 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 58 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 54 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 52 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 50 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 49 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 49 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 41 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 39 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
17 | 37 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 35 |
18º
|
25% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 19 |
19º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finnentrop/Bamenohl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
WER
4 - 0
SFB
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 2
ERK
31%
21%
48%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PRE
5 - 0
SFB
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 2
SCV
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 0
SFB
32%
22%
46%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gievenbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GIE
1 - 1
TVC
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 3
GIE
24%
21%
55%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GIE
2 - 2
RWA
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LIP
0 - 1
GIE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GIE
1 - 1
BOC
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |