Dynamo Dresden vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
SVM
0 - 1
SGD
15%
20%
66%
|
90 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
FVF
2 - 1
SGD
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
ROS
0 - 0
SGD
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
SGD
3 - 1
CHE
83%
11%
5%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
ZWI
2 - 0
COT
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BWA
1 - 1
ZWI
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
ZWI
1 - 2
CZJ
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
SVM
0 - 3
ZWI
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
ZWI
3 - 3
ERF
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |