Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Dynamo Dresden vs Victoria Bucuresti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
SGD
4 - 1
ZWI
82%
12%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
SGD
0 - 0
MAG
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
VIC
1 - 1
SGD
32%
26%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
ERF
2 - 2
SGD
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1988 |
ROM
0 - 2
SGD
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Victoria Bucuresti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
CLU
0 - 1
VIC
48%
26%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
VIC
2 - 0
FCU
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
VIC
1 - 1
SGD
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
VIC
5 - 2
CLU
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
FCU
2 - 2
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |