2. Bundesliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 4-2
Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
OFC
2 - 3
SGD
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 0
WAC
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 1
SGD
40%
29%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SGD
4 - 0
UNT
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 3
SGD
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ING
0 - 1
OSN
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
OSN
1 - 3
RTV
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
OSN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
OSN
1 - 1
FSV
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
OSN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |