Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Dynamo Dresden vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SGD
3 - 1
BFC
30%
24%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
3 - 0
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
ROS
1 - 1
SGD
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
SGD
0 - 0
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MAG
3 - 1
SGD
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
3 - 0
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 0
SWA
68%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
5 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |