Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
Dynamo Dresden vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
4.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
5%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6%
2.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
BSG
2 - 2
SGD
19%
25%
57%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
SGD
3 - 2
BFC
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
RAN
1 - 1
SGD
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
VOR
3 - 2
SGD
27%
24%
48%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
SGD
0 - 0
ZWI
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
RAN
1 - 1
SGD
18%
21%
61%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
RAP
2 - 1
RAN
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
RAN
0 - 0
RAP
40%
24%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1969 |
RAN
0 - 3
KOL
40%
24%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
RAN
71%
17%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |