Dynamo Dresden vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 2
SGD
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FCU
4 - 0
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
SGD
3 - 1
SGF
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 2
SGD
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 1
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ROS
4 - 2
MSV
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 2
FSV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
MSV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
KSC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |