Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Dynamo Dresden vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1984 |
BSV
1 - 1
SGD
24%
22%
54%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
MFF
2 - 0
SGD
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
SGD
2 - 0
ERF
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
MAG
0 - 2
SGD
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
SGD
5 - 1
BSG
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
AIK
0 - 1
MFF
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
MFF
4 - 2
OIF
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
MFF
2 - 0
SGD
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
MFF
3 - 0
KAL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1984 |
NOR
1 - 0
MFF
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |