Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
SGD
1 - 0
OPT
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SGD
3 - 0
ERF
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
COT
0 - 0
SGD
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
SGD
1 - 3
ERZ
71%
20%
9%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
STA
2 - 4
SGD
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
23%
27%
49%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1995 |
BRE
1 - 1
F95
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
CHE
0 - 2
F95
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
F95
3 - 1
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
LOK
1 - 2
F95
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |