Europa League 1/16
Global 1-1
Dynamo Dresden vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
BCB
0 - 2
SGD
18%
20%
62%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
SGD
37%
26%
37%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
SGD
2 - 1
LOK
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
ROS
1 - 1
SGD
12%
23%
65%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
NAP
0 - 1
SGD
7%
16%
77%
|
92 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
ADO
1 - 0
TWE
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
SGD
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
TWE
3 - 1
GRO
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
21%
26%
54%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |